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There is still about a 40-45% chance that neutral conditions will remain through the fall and winter, and a smaller but non-zero chance of El Niño—around 5-10%.The official CPC/IRI ENSO probability forecast, based on a consensus of CPC and IRI forecasters. Please select one of the following:S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt. A chance of showers. The 3-Day Aurora Forecast model shows the intensity and location of the aurora as expected for the time shown at the top of the map. S winds 5 to 10 kt. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD 830 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020 SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Hazards Assessment; Monthly (30 day) Outlooks. Long range forecasts across the U.S.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Climate Diagnostics Center (CDC) Week Two Forecasts (6-14 days) 6-10 Day Temperature Forecast Map; 6-10 Day Precipitation Forecast Map Climate model forecasts for the Niño3.4 Index. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Graphic by climate.gov; data from The wavy pattern in the cooler-than-average region is caused by tropical instability waves, a common feature in the eastern Pacific, especially during the second half of the year.

Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Outlooks Tstm. Tropical Depression Eighteen Forecast Discussion. Another dangerous heat wave is forecast for the Desert Southwest and much of California starting Friday and lasting through the Labor Day holiday weekend. For western Oregon, the ongoing heat wave, very dry fuels, gusty downslope winds and the presence of multiple large fires all suggest continued potential for rapidly moving fire fronts and extreme fire behavior.Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Tony Hawk celebrated the release of his new Tony Hawk’s Pro Skater 1+ 2 by recreating the iconic Warehouse level from N64. (…)Consider this my quarterly complaint that I don’t live near the rockies. All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Dynamical model data (black line) from the Of course, forecasters also look at the current ocean and atmosphere conditions in the tropical Pacific for signs of how ENSO will develop. Seas 2 to 3 ft. S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SE after midnight. Tstm. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. NWS/NOAA Updated 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook (6 August 2020) NOAA's 45th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop will be held virtually, 20–22 October 2020 (19 June 2020) Click on product title to go to product page. NOAA … Vsby 1 to 3 nm.

ENSO is still in neutral, and likely to continue so through the summer. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. A chance of showers. Please try another search.Multiple locations were found. In some cases, the high temperatures are forecast to be as much as 20 to 25 degrees above normal. SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NW after midnight.

It is updated during the first half of the month, in association with the These probabilities reflect forecasters’ thinking about current conditions in the tropical Pacific and the computer model guidance. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Key Messages: 1. Hazards Assessment; Monthly (30 day) Outlooks. For the past few months, many of the Right now, most of these models predict that sea surface temperatures in the Niño3.4 region will be more than 0.5°C cooler than the long-term average—the La Niña threshold—in the fall and winter, although there is still a wide range of potential outcomes.Climate model forecasts for the Niño3.4 Index. This forecast is based on the 0 - 3 day forecast of the planetary geomagnetic activity index, Kp, that is provided as input on a 3-hour cadence.Each frame shows the estimated location of the aurora for a three-hour period. Sea surface temperature anomalies (anomaly = difference from the long-term average) in the east-central Pacific, which were slightly positive through much of the winter and spring, are currently slightly negative.Animation showing sea surface temperature departure from the long-term average from mid-April 2020 through early July 2020. Dynamical model data (black line) from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME): darker gray envelope shows the range of 68% of all model forecasts; lighter gray shows the range of 95% of all model forecasts.

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